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Smart Systems and IoT Growth Themes To Watch in 2018

How Should OEMs Be Thinking About New Growth Strategies Enabled by Smart Systems?

To stay competitive, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) will need to sustain momentum while developing new technology capabilities, customer offerings, and business models.  Across diverse vertical industry segments, OEMs are becoming the “interpreters” and vertically skilled “translators” of digital and Internet of Things technologies in customer operations.  While we strongly believe Smart Systems and IoT technologies will play a central role in OEM strategy going forward, we have also observed the challenges many OEM’s have faced learning how to integrate new technologies into their core business.

Traditional management in many OEM businesses tends to assume that, whatever the OEM’s focus, their business and their peer OEMs share similar characteristics, organization structures, product development protocols and sales and marketing practices. Management attention in OEM businesses has traditionally focused on the known, the visible, and the predictable.  Anything too difficult to measure is too often treated as if it were unreal.

Even more misleading is the assumption that “business as usual” will prevail over a given planning period. Such assumptions leave little room for dynamic management (or creation) of change, the early identification of emerging markets or technical discontinuities, or the increased presence of unfamiliar competitors.  Traditional planning processes, with their linear view and built-in bias towards the established and predictable, will fail to prepare OEMs for the significant changes coming.

OEMs will need to be better at spotting emergent trends and being able to quickly respond to new market entrants with new technologies or evolving competitive threats. What growth themes should OEMs be focused on in the coming years?

MACHINE and EQUIPMENT MANUFACTURERS FACE DRAMATIC CHANGES

While it is difficult to generalize, most OEM segments are undergoing dramatic change due to broader forces at work in the marketplace but also because of the impacts driven by digital and Internet of Things technologies. The advent of connectivity for intelligent equipment and machines is enabling asset monitoring and tracking to ensure uptime, performance, availability, software version control, and location analysis for a wide range of applications. As networks continue to invade the physical world of sensors and machines, many OEM’s have come to understand the significant value created from extracting and leveraging the machine data and usage information from their equipment.

As the Industrial OEM arena evolves past the last several turbulent years, multiple forces [such as global economic expansion] are likely to contribute to positive growth in the short to moderate term. The overall health of the global economy and global gross domestic product (GDP) growth historically tie closely to growth of equipment, machines and capital equipment. For leadership teams in OEMs, identifying and understanding key forces and trends and their potential impacts on their specific product, machine or systems segment, will be critical for sustaining growth and performance in the long run. Leadership in equipment manufacturers and machine builders will face tough trade-off decisions related to new technology and innovation investments as well as rapidly evolving business and operating models.

Technologies, markets, customer needs and competitors are all changing rapidly. Consider just a few of the many forces at work in the marketplace today:

» As the economy has evolved to a more service-oriented and increasingly digital state, the importance of speed and agility as well as building new skills has increased dramatically.

» Capital is increasingly available and abundant. The scale of financial assets are now roughly 8-10 times global GDP, making skills and innovation concepts far more important than capital formation and are the true constraint on an OEM’s ability to drive new growth.

» Industries are consolidating into a “winner-takes-all” mode. Virtually any product or services segment likely had tens if not many tens of competitors thirty years ago. Today that number is typically 3-5 globally dominant leaders in each segment collectively earning as much as 75% or more of the profit pool.

» Wall Street demands and rewards quarterly profits and short-term performance in the name of driving shareholder value. Shorter management horizons and increased pressures from investors are what drives businesses today with less emphasis on longer term investments in new growth.

We would describe all of the above trends as “classic.” What we mean is the relationship of these trends to an OEM’s core product business is predictable. For OEMs to succeed in their core product businesses they will need to continue to carefully set priorities and investments to address prevailing trends in the marketplace. Innovation for the core business are, for the most part, sustaining, incremental and continuous. Performance measurement, repeatability, risk management, continuous improvement and financial discipline are minimum requirements to help drive a continuing cycle of improved costs and higher levels of customer support.

However, we believe new digital and Smart Systems technologies will have an out sized impact on OEM’s strategy and begin to turn long held beliefs upside down. For example, there’s been a very long held belief that you can be big and low cost, or you can be focused and differentiated—but not both. Today’s Smart Systems and IoT technologies are enabling new modes of services delivery and creating new opportunities with data and analytics capabilities that either significantly reduce if not eliminate this classic strategic trade-off. This, we believe, is but one example of the extraordinary effects new systems technology will have on OEMs.

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The business environment for OEMs has entered a new chapter with new challenges, business models and unfamiliar technologies impacting virtually all players and all segments across the OEM arena. Trying to coordinate and leverage the respective roles of new digital and smart systems technologies and new business models creates contention.  Many of the OEMs we have worked with are coming to see the continuously evolving relationship between these two dimensions as fertile ground for innovation.  They need to be interwoven and mutually supportive.  In fact, from our own direct consulting experiences, we believe success in either – technology innovation and business models – increasingly goes to the company that effectively utilizes the combined potential of both.

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