Harbor Currents Archive
 
 2004.07.22 Issue 24

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In this Issue

MAIN PANEL

  • Think Pervasive
    The Risks of Standing Pat.

  • About Harbor
    Who we are and what we offer.

  • SmartSphere® “Living Business Intelligence”™
    Harbor’s innovative online service is a totally new kind of research experience. It supports almost any type of project. Our earlier Pervasive Internet Report, for example, has been replaced and enhanced by our SmartSphere® “Pervasive Internet Suppliers” project.

SIDE PANEL

All issues of Harbor “Currents” are archived on the Web.




Conferences, Summits, Meetings & Shows

Stay tuned for future events
We’re planning some exciting conferences and executive summits on the M2M / Pervasive Internet phenomenon. News will be posted in future issues of Currents.



Profile your company

Technology suppliers: We want you in our Knowledge Base
If your company has anything to do with Internet-enabled devices or M2M (from sensors to services), we want your full profile in the Knowledge Base that drives our online SmartSphere® projects on M2M and the Pervasive Internet (PDF, 224 KB). In addition to our regular subscribers, nearly 700 business and high-tech journalists have full access to this ever-growing relational database of companies, products and events.

There is no cost to your company, but we do need your help. Please download our company profiling form—a Microsoft Word document with fields that you can easily fill out on screen. Complete the form and email it to us to start the process. We’ll follow up for additional information, if needed. When complete, we’ll send you an attractive PDF file of your profile that you can use for your own purposes.

Of course, your PDF-based profile will be a static document. But users of our online SmartSphere® projects will see your company and its information dynamically—as part of graphical sector and venue maps, and in auto-generated links to other records in the database, such as other companies and ongoing events related to you and your products or services.



Send your PR

Suppliers and Adopters: We want your Press Releases
If your company emails press releases about Pervasive-related events, put us on your list at pr@harborresearch.com. We’ll include your announcements in the events-tracking of our SmartSphere® projects, linked to a databased profile of your organization. (You can help us create a good profile by filling out our company profiling form.)



Terms of use

We welcome distribution of our PDF-format white papers, diagrams, and “Currents” essays under the following conditions:

  • Whether in digital or printed form, all PDFs must be used exactly as supplied, without modification, and with the Harbor logo and contact information intact.

  • If a Harbor PDF file is made available on your Web site, your link to the file must include attribution to Harbor Research, Inc., and this attribution must be linked to harborresearch.com. In addition, please notify us that you are posting the file.

  • If you quote from any piece of Harbor writing, or refer to the information in any Harbor diagram, you must credit Harbor Research, Inc. with a link to harborresearch.com.


White papers

Our free white papers reflect both our research activities and our consulting.

“Think Smart, Think Connected: Maintaining Competitive Advantage in an Open, Connected Landscape” (August, 2003)
EU Corporate Leaders Meet in Paris to Discuss New Business Opportunities of a Connected World. PDF format, 220 KB.

“Let the Circle Be Unbroken: How Device Networking / M2M and the Internet Will Automate the Global Enterprise” (July, 2003)
Direct and easy to understand, this paper is an excellent introduction to the Pervasive Internet and the many ways in which wired and wireless device communication will completely automate global business. PDF format, 392 KB.


“Core Network Providers: Can They Escape the Commoditization Spiral?” (June 2003)
Today, core connectivity providers are in a declining-profit commodity business and suffocating under mountains of dot-com build-out debt. Meanwhile, a vast source of future growth and revenue—device networking / M2M—lies just outside their human-centric blinders, along with the chance to adopt a truly 21st century business model: that of the enterprise-automation “infotributor.” PDF format, 740 KB.


“The ‘Always On’ Pervasive Internet: Why Broadband Means More Than Bits” (January, 2002)
The buzz about broadband always emphasizes bandwidth and human-centric applications such as video-on-demand or voice-over-IP. But for the device-centric Pervasive Internet, broadband’s virtue is not its bandwidth but the fact that it’s “always on.” PDF format, 180 KB.


“Catalytic Strategy: Hasten Change, Shape Your Industry” (January, 2002)
In chemistry, a catalyst is an agent that speeds up the reaction that produces a desired compound.

In high-tech business, the relentless rapid change can be unnerving, but trying to resist it will only get you hurt. In fact, it’s often a good idea to speed it up—and then use the resulting disruption and momentum to your advantage. To do so, find a way to become a catalyst yourself, or find a business ally to be a catalyst for you. PDF format, 180 KB.



Contact us

Our popular Pervasive Internet diagrams are vector-based PDF files that look great at any screen size or printer resolution.

Pervasive Internet Venue Map
Now you can see the entire Pervasive Internet laid out on a single page—segmented by market, service opportunities, and example devices.

Click here to download our Pervasive Internet Venue Map.


Device Networking Hierarchy
Some Internet-connected devices are mobile, others are stationary. Some, like PDAs and mobile phones, deliver full value only when given complete human attention. “Pure” Pervasive Internet devices get no direct human attention at all.

In this diagram, we place devices along the “human-centric” / “device-centric” continuum, give examples of each type, and suggest deployment figures for 2005.

Click here to download our Device Networking Hierarchy diagram.


M2M Market Landscape
Distribution of Pervasive Internet / M2M players in terms of product / services mix and scope of solution, circa March 2004. This diagram is not intended to portray every active player, nor is it etched in stone. Company position is constantly evolving.

M2M Market Landscape

Click here to download the M2M Market Landscape PDF (125 KB) .


SIGNALSmart™ Technology Framework
The Pervasive Internet begins with data generated by intelligent devices. It ends with the smart Web services that automate and optimize manufacturing, marketing, business logistics, supply chain, and customer service. In between, many complex, interoperable technologies must come into play.


We created our SIGNALSmart™ Framework to provide a clear portrait of this technology path, along with terminology and examples for suppliers and adopters alike.

Click here to download our 2-page SIGNALSmart™ Framework diagram (PDF, 368 KB).


M2M Ecosystems
Potential M2M adopters are looking for a bridge across the chasm between technology innovation and real-world business value. Only full supplier ecosystems can build that bridge. This diagram uses Harbor’s SIGNALSmart™ framework to show what’s needed, and what adopters do—and do not—care about.

M2M Ecosystems

Click here to download the M2M Ecosystems PDF (70 KB) .


The “Device ISP” Opportunity
Major connectivity providers have made some device-centric strides, but we’re still living in “The Telephone Age.” A huge M2M / Pervasive Internet opportunity exists for those who “own the wire” or control a piece of wireless spectrum.

M2M Ecosystems

Click here to download the Device ISP PDF (400 KB).



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Why Currents?
Our title means many things
Invisible forces running through water. Electricity running through wires. The many wireless signals in the air all around us. And all the things (“current events”) that are happening right now.

“Currents” was also the title of a publication series we did some years ago. There was no Web when we started it. Very few of our subscribers even had email. Today we have better ways to share our thoughts and news. But in casting about for a newsletter title, nothing sounded better than our own legacy, so “Currents” is back.

And there’s one other reason: Mark Twain.

The passenger who could not read it was charmed with a peculiar sort of faint dimple on [the river’s] surface, but to the pilot that was an italicized passage ... for it meant that a wreck or rock was buried there that could tear the life out of the strongest vessel that ever floated. In truth, the passengers who could not read this book saw nothing but pretty pictures in it, whereas to the trained eye these were not pictures at all, but the most earnest of reading matter.
—Life on the Mississippi

Anyone can see the ripples on the surface of the water. The expert eye reads the currents beneath.

 



 
Think Pervasive

The Risks of Standing Pat

The era of near-perfect, near-real-time information about assets and customer behavior is looming like a tanker coming out of the fog. Business as usual could turn out to be a very bad idea.

Download this essay in printable PDF format (92 KB).
(See our terms of use.)

Many companies have launched new businesses enabled by networked devices, and many others have already made their decisions and started the process of designing their connected products and their new business models. The move to the Pervasive Internet is happening, and the pace of adoption is accelerating. It is not only possible, it is here.

Clear First-Mover Advantages for Adopters
We have seen evidence of first-mover advantages in industrial asset management, vehicle telematics, industrial gases, networked building systems, energy monitoring, and medical imaging systems. Early adopters have not only brought their connected offerings to market, but may already have locked down lasting dominant positions in their respective industries. The following are only the most obvious impacts:

  • Break-out “double digit” top line growth in traditionally GDP-driven businesses

  • Line-of-business ROS increases in the 5-10% range

  • Service force productivity improvements of 20-35%

  • Dramatic, quantifiable customer retention improvements

At the same time, technology suppliers have ensured that the tools for device connectivity are largely in place. Except in the least developed parts of the world, where there may still be infrastructure issues, there is no place on earth where a connected product cannot be deployed to the advantage of both its manufacturer and its users.

The Big Risk is Delayed Action, Not Technology
Yet many companies will fail to make the shift. Is it because the technology is immature and not to be trusted? In some areas of the technology value chain, the pieces may not be mature. Certainly, it will be some time before the losing suppliers have been shaken out and the remaining winners can be counted on to supply the quality products and complete services required to minimize risk for adopters. Yet even today, robust systems can be built out of existing pieces, and what remains of technological risk pales next to the risk of delayed action.

M2M in Business Represents a Radical Paradigm-Shift
The key word is risk. The leadership in many manufacturing companies is not accustomed to the volatile, high-stakes world of business driven by networked devices, and it is this transition, not the technological shift, that many will fail to make. Many changes in thinking will have to take place for companies to succeed in networking their devices and updating their organizations for the next era of information technology.
These changes come in many areas:

  • In internal leadership, we have already seen and expect to see more cases where many members of organizations have a clear view of where the company needs to go, yet are unable to present the business case for change in a compelling manner.

  • In planning, companies may not know whom to invite to the planning table, let alone what to do when everybody’s there. They may have strategic planning processes in place that are ill-equipped to deal with major paradigm shifts.

  • In business execution, manufacturers may have little understanding of the nature of a new, information-intensive offering, or of the needs of a market that will be trained by the companies that have made the shift successfully. Such customers will be far more demanding than in the past.

  • In organization, companies may fail to understand that the new skills, shifting alliances, and new customer bases that can come with the Pervasive Internet may demand radically new organizational structures.

Networked Device Information Changes Everything
In short, many companies will fail due to the inadequacies of their leadership. Many companies will be hampered in their thinking by a tendency to assume that the company after networking will be the same company and in the same business as before networking. This is a safe assumption in almost no case.

The first fact about any networked product, which is so obvious that no one needs to be told, is that it will capture and convey data. The second fact, not quite so obvious, is that these new data become a core asset. The third fact, not an obvious leap for many managers, is that information as an asset makes for fundamental changes in a company’s business. The fourth fact, which makes things simple but by no means easy, is that most changes brought about when information becomes central have the effect of moving a company toward a service business model.

We say this is simple but not easy. The fact that information makes services move to the fore is not hard to grasp. But in practice, “services” represents a business paradigm so foreign to many manufacturers that they cannot understand, let alone implement, the changes necessary to make the shift successfully.

In fact, the phrase “shift to information-driven services,” though accurate, could be dangerously misleading if it makes the required corporate culture and business model changes sound almost tame. They aren’t. The era of near-perfect, near-real-time information about physical assets and customer behavior is looming like a tanker coming out of the fog. Any degree of complacency about it will be deadly. If you’re inclined to deal with the future by making small tweaks to business as usual, the best (but hard to swallow) medicine might come from Dr. Monty Python: Everything you know is wrong.

Download this essay in printable PDF format (92 KB).
(See our terms of use.)

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About Harbor

Who We Are and What We Offer.
Harbor Research Inc. has been providing strategic consulting and research services to leaders in communications, computing, control, and content since 1983. The firm has built relationships with larger multi-line companies including AT&T, ABB, General Electric, Danaher, Eaton, Emerson, Hewlett Packard, Honeywell, Hughes, IBM, Intel, Invensys, Lucent, Motorola, Rockwell, Siemens, and Texas Instruments, as well as focused growth companies such as EMC, Cadence Design, Conexant, and Qualcomm.

We also continue to work for a broad array of emergent start-ups and pre-IPO technology ventures. We have built relationships with a number of significant M2M / Pervasive Internet players, including Cimetrics, DataSweep, eDevice, Ember, emWare, Questra, Wireless Innovation, and Xsilogy, to name a few.

Harbor is organized around emergent and disruptive opportunities in high technology, with a unique focus on the impact of the Pervasive Internet—the use of the Internet to accomplish global device networking that will revolutionize business by unleashing entirely new modes of system optimization, customer relationships, and service delivery.

We provide studies, workshops, briefings, research retainers, and consulting engagements of uniquely high value to both technology suppliers and adopters. For more information, please contact us.




SmartSphere Living Business Intelligence

Your secret weapon has arrived. Announcing a totally new kind of business research experience.

Harbor’s new online platform for research services offers continually updated intelligence and stunning data-visualization.

Static, printed reports can’t track the complex ecosystems and warp-speed pace of high tech. SmartSphere® projects can.

The brains of the Web. The brawn of server databases. The beauty of a CD-ROM.
For nearly ten years, we’ve been waiting for Web media to get good enough to let us do this. It’s finally here. Harbor SmartSphere® re-invents the whole concept of delivering research value. It’s to business research what the Pervasive Internet will be to business itself: a huge injection of dynamic intelligence and sheer voltage. SmartSphere® is online, interactive, dynamic, and visualized. There’s nothing static, rigid, or dead about it. Eventually, we at Harbor will do everything in SmartSphere® that we used to do on paper, and we’ll do it better. And you can, too. in a custom-configured project of your own, SmartSphere® can be anything you want it to be.

And yes, you can get printed reports. We’ve re-invented those, too. Not fixed, one-size-fits-all printed reports, but custom printed reports that you configure and SmartSphere® creates for you on the fly in PDF format.

See SmartSphere® and find out more right now:

  1. Visit our free, live SmartSphere® demonstration. They say pictures are worth a thousand words. So what are they worth if they’re pictures of your whole world, and you can fly around inside the pictures with your mouse?
  2. Download a brochure on the SmartSphere® research platform and services (PDF, 970 KB).
  3. Download a brochure about our SmartSphere® “living research” projects on the M2M/Pervasive Internet phenomenon (PDF, 240 KB).
Pervasive Internet Study

A small portion of an interactive Harbor SphereMap™. This one portrays a company’s world. You “fly around” the map by dragging it with your mouse, bringing into focus any area you want to explore. You see a company’s peers, investors, products, and alliance-structure at a glance. Clicking nodes fetches additional information from the database. Shift-clicking nodes creates new maps of other companies—and maps of markets, too.

Projects, projects, projects. Ours, and yours.
SmartSphere® is an online platform that Harbor uses to deliver Web-based services. You don’t buy SmartSphere® the way you buy a program for your computer. You buy access to one or more SmartSphere® projects. We define projects of our own on important high-tech subjects, and clients can subscribe to those projects. Clients can also define their own custom (and completely private) projects.

SmartSphere® projects are laser-focused on their subjects. No waste, no fluff, no irrelevance. A SmartSphere® project delivers continually updated information on whatever the project has been defined to track. Some of that information is created in the good old-fashioned way, by experienced researchers and analysts. And some of it is created with 21st century tools like automated news feeds and Web-based info services. Every time you log in to a project, there’s new information—freshly tracked events, new company alliances, new company and market comparisons, enhanced company, market, and technology profiles, and insightful Harbor commentary and analysis.

When you visit our SmartSphere® demonstration, you’ll see a limited version of our own “Pervasive Internet Suppliers” project. Bear in mind that the free demo offers limited information and functionality. The full “Pervasive Internet Suppliers” project, for example, was created to replace and improve our own earlier online publication, Pervasive Internet Report.

Custom SmartSphere® projects. Your secret weapon has arrived.
You’ve heard about some of our SmartSphere® projects. Now let’s talk about yours. Does your company have business development, M&A, R&D, or sales and marketing goals? We hope the answer is yes. How would you like “living business intelligence”™ on the companies that interest or worry you? Or on the markets and technologies that are defining your future? A custom SmartSphere® project is the perfect way to do that. “Living business intelligence”™ means research that is laser-focused on your targets, and continually updated for as long as you need it.

Any collection of companies, markets, or technologies can become the backbone of a SmartSphere® project. You define who or what they are. You define what you want to track about them, and how you’d like to rank or score or weight them. You define the types of cross-company or cross-market comparisons you’d like to see.

You need Flash to use Harbor’s site and our SmartSphereŽ demos. It’s free and easy. Get it here.

Take action and take control.
If you’ve read this much about SmartSphere® without clicking something, it’s time to click. Here are those links once again.

  1. Visit our free, live SmartSphere® demonstration.
  2. Download a brochure on the SmartSphere® research platform and services (PDF, 970 KB).
  3. Download a brochure about our SmartSphere® “living research” projects on the M2M/Pervasive Internet phenomenon (PDF, 240 KB).


[Editor’s note: You can comment on anything we do by sending email to feedback@harborresearch.com.]
 
Harbor Research, Inc.