Harbor Currents Archive
 
 2004.05.13 Issue 17

To unsubscribe, do not reply to this mailing. Use Subscriber Control.

Feedback? Don’t hit “reply.” Write to feedback@harborresearch.com.

Did someone forward you this issue of “Currents”? Get your own free subscription to our acclaimed newsletter.

You need Flash to use Harbor’s site and our SmartSphereŽ demos. It’s free and easy. Get it here.

See a Harbor SmartSphere® demo.

Visit Harbor’s site.

Visit the Harbor “Currents” archive.


In this Issue

MAIN PANEL

  • Think Pervasive
    Wanted: Digital Power and Control Leadership

  • About Harbor
    Who we are and what we offer.

  • SmartSphere® “Living Business Intelligence”™
    Harbor’s innovative online service is a totally new kind of research experience. It supports almost any type of project. Our earlier Pervasive Internet Report, for example, has been replaced and enhanced by our SmartSphere® “Pervasive Internet Suppliers” project.

SIDE PANEL

All issues of Harbor “Currents” are archived on the Web.




Conferences, Summits, Meetings & Shows

Stay tuned for future events
We’re planning some exciting conferences and executive summits on the M2M / Pervasive Internet phenomenon. News will be posted in future issues of Currents.



Profile your company

Technology suppliers: We want you in our Knowledge Base
If your company has anything to do with Internet-enabled devices or M2M (from sensors to services), we want your full profile in the Knowledge Base that drives our online SmartSphere® projects on M2M and the Pervasive Internet (PDF, 224 KB). In addition to our regular subscribers, nearly 700 business and high-tech journalists have full access to this ever-growing relational database of companies, products and events.

There is no cost to your company, but we do need your help. Please download our company profiling form—a Microsoft Word document with fields that you can easily fill out on screen. Complete the form and email it to us to start the process. We’ll follow up for additional information, if needed. When complete, we’ll send you an attractive PDF file of your profile that you can use for your own purposes.

Of course, your PDF-based profile will be a static document. But users of our online SmartSphere® projects will see your company and its information dynamically—as part of graphical sector and venue maps, and in auto-generated links to other records in the database, such as other companies and ongoing events related to you and your products or services.



Profile your company

Suppliers and Adopters: We want your Press Releases
If your company emails press releases about Pervasive-related events, put us on your list at pr@harborresearch.com. We’ll include your announcements in the events-tracking of our SmartSphere® projects, linked to a databased profile of your organization. (You can help us create a good profile by filling out our company profiling form.)



Terms of use

We welcome distribution of our PDF-format white papers, diagrams, and “Currents” essays under the following conditions:

  • Whether in digital or printed form, all PDFs must be used exactly as supplied, without modification, and with the Harbor logo and contact information intact.

  • If a Harbor PDF file is made available on your Web site, your link to the file must include attribution to Harbor Research, Inc., and this attribution must be linked to harborresearch.com. In addition, please notify us that you are posting the file.

  • If you quote from any piece of Harbor writing, or refer to the information in any Harbor diagram, you must credit Harbor Research, Inc. with a link to harborresearch.com.


Contact us

Our free white papers reflect both our research activities and our consulting.

“Think Smart, Think Connected: Maintaining Competitive Advantage in an Open, Connected Landscape” (August, 2003)
EU Corporate Leaders Meet in Paris to Discuss New Business Opportunities of a Connected World. PDF format, 220 KB.

“Let the Circle Be Unbroken: How Device Networking / M2M and the Internet Will Automate the Global Enterprise” (July, 2003)
Direct and easy to understand, this paper is an excellent introduction to the Pervasive Internet and the many ways in which wired and wireless device communication will completely automate global business. PDF format, 392 KB.


“Core Network Providers: Can They Escape the Commoditization Spiral?” (June 2003)
Today, core connectivity providers are in a declining-profit commodity business and suffocating under mountains of dot-com build-out debt. Meanwhile, a vast source of future growth and revenue—device networking / M2M—lies just outside their human-centric blinders, along with the chance to adopt a truly 21st century business model: that of the enterprise-automation “infotributor.” PDF format, 740 KB.


“The ‘Always On’ Pervasive Internet: Why Broadband Means More Than Bits” (January, 2002)
The buzz about broadband always emphasizes bandwidth and human-centric applications such as video-on-demand or voice-over-IP. But for the device-centric Pervasive Internet, broadband’s virtue is not its bandwidth but the fact that it’s “always on.” PDF format, 180 KB.


“Catalytic Strategy: Hasten Change, Shape Your Industry” (January, 2002)
In chemistry, a catalyst is an agent that speeds up the reaction that produces a desired compound.

In high-tech business, the relentless rapid change can be unnerving, but trying to resist it will only get you hurt. In fact, it’s often a good idea to speed it up—and then use the resulting disruption and momentum to your advantage. To do so, find a way to become a catalyst yourself, or find a business ally to be a catalyst for you. PDF format, 180 KB.



Contact us

Our popular Pervasive Internet diagrams are vector-based PDF files that look great at any screen size or printer resolution.

Pervasive Internet Venue Map
Now you can see the entire Pervasive Internet laid out on a single page—segmented by market, service opportunities, and example devices.

Click here to download our Pervasive Internet Venue Map.


Device Networking Hierarchy
Some Internet-connected devices are mobile, others are stationary. Some, like PDAs and mobile phones, deliver full value only when given complete human attention. “Pure” Pervasive Internet devices get no direct human attention at all.

In this diagram, we place devices along the “human-centric” / “device-centric” continuum, give examples of each type, and suggest deployment figures for 2005.

Click here to download our Device Networking Hierarchy diagram.


M2M Market Landscape
Distribution of Pervasive Internet / M2M players in terms of product / services mix and scope of solution, circa March 2004. This diagram is not intended to portray every active player, nor is it etched in stone. Company position is constantly evolving.

M2M Market Landscape

Click here to download the M2M Market Landscape PDF (125 KB) .


SIGNALSmart™ Technology Framework
The Pervasive Internet begins with data generated by intelligent devices. It ends with the smart Web services that automate and optimize manufacturing, marketing, business logistics, supply chain, and customer service. In between, many complex, interoperable technologies must come into play.


We created our SIGNALSmart™ Framework to provide a clear portrait of this technology path, along with terminology and examples for suppliers and adopters alike.

Click here to download our 2-page SIGNALSmart™ Framework diagram (PDF, 368 KB).


M2M Ecosystems
Potential M2M adopters are looking for a bridge across the chasm between technology innovation and real-world business value. Only full supplier ecosystems can build that bridge. This diagram uses Harbor’s SIGNALSmart™ framework to show what’s needed, and what adopters do—and do not—care about.

M2M Ecosystems

Click here to download the M2M Ecosystems PDF (70 KB) .


The “Device ISP” Opportunity
Major connectivity providers have made some device-centric strides, but we’re still living in “The Telephone Age.” A huge M2M / Pervasive Internet opportunity exists for those who “own the wire” or control a piece of wireless spectrum.

M2M Ecosystems

Click here to download the Device ISP PDF (400 KB).



Subscriber control
Subscribe
Did a friend or colleague forward this “Currents” to you? If so, you can easily get your own subscription by clicking here.

Note: The following 2 options are for emailed copies of “Currents” only. They will not work if you are viewing this issue on the Web.

Unsubscribe
We want you to stay, but if you really want to unsubscribe, don’t reply to this mailing. Do this instead:

  1. Go to your Profile Management Page.
  2. Click the “Unsubscribe Completely” button at the top.
  3. You’ll receive no further mailings.

Change your profile
Every “Currents” subscriber has a profile that will, in the near future, allow us to deliver personalized content determined by your interests (Smart Buildings, Smart Retail, Sensors, Enterprise Applications, and so on). You can change your profile at your Profile Management Page.



Contact us

Harbor Research, Inc.
38 Clyde Street
San Francisco, CA 94107 1.800.595.9368 (U.S. only)
415.615.9400
fax: 415.789.8773
info@harborresearch.com

Feeedback on our materials:
feedback@harborresearch.com



Why Currents?
Our title means many things
Invisible forces running through water. Electricity running through wires. The many wireless signals in the air all around us. And all the things (“current events”) that are happening right now.

“Currents” was also the title of a publication series we did some years ago. There was no Web when we started it. Very few of our subscribers even had email. Today we have better ways to share our thoughts and news. But in casting about for a newsletter title, nothing sounded better than our own legacy, so “Currents” is back.

And there’s one other reason: Mark Twain.

The passenger who could not read it was charmed with a peculiar sort of faint dimple on [the river’s] surface, but to the pilot that was an italicized passage ... for it meant that a wreck or rock was buried there that could tear the life out of the strongest vessel that ever floated. In truth, the passengers who could not read this book saw nothing but pretty pictures in it, whereas to the trained eye these were not pictures at all, but the most earnest of reading matter.
—Life on the Mississippi

Anyone can see the ripples on the surface of the water. The expert eye reads the currents beneath.

 



 
Think Pervasive

Wanted: Digital Power and Control Leadership

The major digital power, control, and automation suppliers are in an excellent position to weave the vast alliance-webs necessary for the M2M / Pervasive Internet era. But smaller, more nimble players are much more on the ball.

Download this essay in printable PDF format (275 KB).
(See our terms of use.)

A vast, fluid web of alliances
The M2M / Pervasive Internet era will be driven by an entirely different set of business alliances than those of the PC and dot-com eras. The competitive structure of the PC-centric world was built upon comparatively few major alliances, and those were quite static hub-and-spoke unions—Wintel being the classic example. By contrast, the Pervasive Internet will flourish in a vast, fluid web of alliances not based on the old command-and-control structure.

Figure 1: Pervasive Internet Go-to-Market Systems
Pervasive Internet go-to-market systems
Click the image for a larger on-screen version.
Source: Harbor Research, Inc.

Download the diagram above in printable PDF format (60 KB).
(See our terms of use.)

The revolutionary shift to machine-to-machine (M2M) technologies is upon us, yet the major alliance initiatives have not materialized. Yes, there have been scattered local maneuvers, but not the systematic, big-vision moves required to bring a new era into being.

All the major constituents in this arena—technology suppliers, value adders (OEMs, SIs, incorporators, etc.), and the real-world adopters—are moving too slowly on this front. One group in particular—the power, control, and automation suppliers—is perhaps moving most slowly of all. This is a paradox, because the suppliers of digital power and control technology are uniquely positioned to provide the necessary alliance leadership.

Technology “arms merchants” still don’t live in a real-time world
While the technology supplier community provides essential Pervasive and M2M enabling and components—especially Web Services technologies and the “always on” (and secure) Internet itself—the large technology “arms merchants” (IBM, HP, Intel, Oracle, Cisco, et. al.) have long been cloistered in a B2B universe based on the old batch computing model, not on a model of real-time device inputs. For this reason, major IT, electronics, and communications companies have historically been enterprise plumbers blissfully free of the need to connect their services to the non-business real world at large. We’re not likely to see Pervasive alliance leadership from them.

Figure 2: Digital Power and Control Peers
Digital power and control peers
Click the image for a larger on-screen version.
Source: Harbor Research, Inc.

Download the diagram above in printable PDF format (117 KB).
(See our terms of use.)

Nor are we likely to see it from the adopters and device OEMs that the major technology “arms merchants” serve. To be sure, manufacturers and end-users of vehicles, appliances, consumer electronics, building systems, medical equipment, etc., appreciate the importance of Internet connectivity, but their vision tends to be parochial—limited to the connectivity needs of their own very vertical worlds. Even more than the technology players, they tend to occupy the center of their own universes.

Digital power and control players understand the real world and vertical markets
By contrast, the digital power and control community has close, ongoing contact with major device players, as well as the technology supply community. Digital power is much more grounded in the real world than the navel-gazing technology community, and much more application and vertical-market fluent. These suppliers are positioned to be involved on both the physical and virtual side of the Pervasive opportunity. If one adds up the revenues related to both their core power and control businesses, as well as new revenue enabled by pervasive technologies, the total easily passes $250 billion. That, like almost all the numbers related to Pervasive, is a very large sum indeed.

Companies like Siemens, Honeywell, ABB, Emerson, Eaton, Schneider, Rockwell, Siemens, Invensys, Mitsubishi, and Omron have much to gain, and just as much (or more) to lose if they don’t position themselves properly. They already have equipment and systems in our buildings, vehicles, factories, offices, and homes. They have also created software and services that run and automate complex environments. Ultimately they could be the community best-positioned to break ahead of the pack—if they don’t become their own worst enemies.

Internet connectivity is a major disruptor in all economic spaces, and the rapid evolution and interplay of the three major groups is initiating a new era where integrated digital power and control will be embedded in virtually all real-world devices. These new power and control technologies are replacing vast quantities of electro-mechanical systems, and will be essential to everything Pervasive—from silicon drivers and networks for everything from vehicles to semiconductor lighting, and powerchips in everything from appliances to MRI machines and pacemakers, and the power grid itself.

Power electronics are key to the Pervasive Internet
The killer-apps of the Pervasive Internet era—equipment monitoring, predictive maintenance, asset management, and other “Web Services”—will be intensely dependent on the ever-increasing speed and density of power electronics. These applications are ideal opportunities for digital power and control suppliers to take the lead in developing alliances and value-added relationships. If you look at the amount of money that businesses spend on these problems, or could save with better solutions, you see that there are far more dollars available in Web-driven services than in the merely product-based activities of yesterday.

Furthermore, companies like Emerson, Siemens, GE, and ABB have much to gain from architecting Pervasive alliances. Incalculable value will flow from integrating many real-world devices and facilitating their control and automation. The architects of Pervasive alliances will drive that value—and command it. A company that “sensors up the world” will control the world, and have a huge competitive advantage in vastly profitable ancillary activities—for example, the trading of energy.

GE may well typify this more than any other power, control, and related automation player. With its focus on services themselves, as well as the combining of services, capital financing, and equipment, GE provides a stage upon which the real long-term gains of the Pervasive Internet can be seen. We recently visited with GE Capital, where a senior executive characterized the advantages of remote enablement and monitoring. “Remote management,” he said, “will turn GE’s equipment, services, and financing competencies into ‘actuarial science.’”

If major players don’t weave the alliance-webs, smaller players will
Many people inside digital power and control companies get this. But these companies are large bureaucracies founded on focused products addressing focused markets. The Pervasive Internet era will cut across traditional product P&L and market boundaries like a machete. Smaller, nimble players like Xsilogy, Cimetrics, Strategic Response, Ei3, and a whole host of others already understand this. These companies have forged more partnerships and alliances in the last eighteen months than the entire power and control crowd combined. If the major power and control players don’t see the implications of this soon, a new category of company may emerge to fill the crucial role of Pervasive Alliance Architect.

Download this essay in printable PDF format (275 KB).
(See our terms of use.)

Harbor Research welcomes your feedback. Send it to feedback@harborresearch.com.



About Harbor

Who We Are and What We Offer.
Harbor Research Inc. has been providing strategic consulting and research services to leaders in communications, computing, control, and content since 1983. The firm has built relationships with larger multi-line companies including AT&T, ABB, General Electric, Danaher, Eaton, Emerson, Hewlett Packard, Honeywell, Hughes, IBM, Intel, Invensys, Lucent, Motorola, Rockwell, Siemens, and Texas Instruments, as well as focused growth companies such as EMC, Cadence Design, Conexant, Qualcomm, and SAP.

We also continue to work for a broad array of emergent start-ups and pre-IPO technology ventures. We have built relationships with a number of significant Pervasive Internet players, including Questra Corporation, Xsilogy, DataSweep, eDevice, Wireless Innovation, and emWare, to name a few.

Harbor is organized around emergent and disruptive opportunities in high technology, with a unique focus on the impact of the Pervasive Internet—the use of the Internet to accomplish global device networking that will revolutionize business by unleashing entirely new modes of system optimization, customer relationships, and service delivery.

We provide studies, workshops, briefings, research retainers, and consulting engagements of uniquely high value to both technology suppliers and adopters. For more information, please contact us.




SmartSphere Living Business Intelligence

Your secret weapon has arrived. Announcing a totally new kind of business research experience.

Harbor’s new online platform for research services offers continually updated intelligence and stunning data-visualization.

Static, printed reports can’t track the complex ecosystems and warp-speed pace of high tech. SmartSphere® projects can.

The brains of the Web. The brawn of server databases. The beauty of a CD-ROM.
For nearly ten years, we’ve been waiting for Web media to get good enough to let us do this. It’s finally here. Harbor SmartSphere® re-invents the whole concept of delivering research value. It’s to business research what the Pervasive Internet will be to business itself: a huge injection of dynamic intelligence and sheer voltage. SmartSphere® is online, interactive, dynamic, and visualized. There’s nothing static, rigid, or dead about it. Eventually, we at Harbor will do everything in SmartSphere® that we used to do on paper, and we’ll do it better. And you can, too. in a custom-configured project of your own, SmartSphere® can be anything you want it to be.

And yes, you can get printed reports. We’ve re-invented those, too. Not fixed, one-size-fits-all printed reports, but custom printed reports that you configure and SmartSphere® creates for you on the fly in PDF format.

See SmartSphere® and find out more right now:

  1. Visit our free, live SmartSphere® demonstration. They say pictures are worth a thousand words. So what are they worth if they’re pictures of your whole world, and you can fly around inside the pictures with your mouse?
  2. Download a brochure on the SmartSphere® research platform and services (PDF, 970 KB).
  3. Download a brochure about our SmartSphere® “living research” projects on the M2M/Pervasive Internet phenomenon (PDF, 240 KB).
Pervasive Internet Study

A small portion of an interactive Harbor SphereMap™. This one portrays a company’s world. You “fly around” the map by dragging it with your mouse, bringing into focus any area you want to explore. You see a company’s peers, investors, products, and alliance-structure at a glance. Clicking nodes fetches additional information from the database. Shift-clicking nodes creates new maps of other companies—and maps of markets, too.

Projects, projects, projects. Ours, and yours.
SmartSphere® is an online platform that Harbor uses to deliver Web-based services. You don’t buy SmartSphere® the way you buy a program for your computer. You buy access to one or more SmartSphere® projects. We define projects of our own on important high-tech subjects, and clients can subscribe to those projects. Clients can also define their own custom (and completely private) projects.

SmartSphere® projects are laser-focused on their subjects. No waste, no fluff, no irrelevance. A SmartSphere® project delivers continually updated information on whatever the project has been defined to track. Some of that information is created in the good old-fashioned way, by experienced researchers and analysts. And some of it is created with 21st century tools like automated news feeds and Web-based info services. Every time you log in to a project, there’s new information—freshly tracked events, new company alliances, new company and market comparisons, enhanced company, market, and technology profiles, and insightful Harbor commentary and analysis.

When you visit our SmartSphere® demonstration, you’ll see a limited version of our own “Pervasive Internet Suppliers” project. Bear in mind that the free demo offers limited information and functionality. The full “Pervasive Internet Suppliers” project, for example, was created to replace and improve our own earlier online publication, Pervasive Internet Report.

Custom SmartSphere® projects. Your secret weapon has arrived.
You’ve heard about some of our SmartSphere® projects. Now let’s talk about yours. Does your company have business development, M&A, R&D, or sales and marketing goals? We hope the answer is yes. How would you like “living business intelligence”™ on the companies that interest or worry you? Or on the markets and technologies that are defining your future? A custom SmartSphere® project is the perfect way to do that. “Living business intelligence”™ means research that is laser-focused on your targets, and continually updated for as long as you need it.

Any collection of companies, markets, or technologies can become the backbone of a SmartSphere® project. You define who or what they are. You define what you want to track about them, and how you’d like to rank or score or weight them. You define the types of cross-company or cross-market comparisons you’d like to see.

You need Flash to use Harbor’s site and our SmartSphereŽ demos. It’s free and easy. Get it here.

Take action and take control.
If you’ve read this much about SmartSphere® without clicking something, it’s time to click. Here are those links once again.

  1. Visit our free, live SmartSphere® demonstration.
  2. Download a brochure on the SmartSphere® research platform and services (PDF, 970 KB).
  3. Download a brochure about our SmartSphere® “living research” projects on the M2M/Pervasive Internet phenomenon (PDF, 240 KB).


[Editor’s note: You can comment on anything we do by sending email to feedback@harborresearch.com.]
 
Harbor Research, Inc.